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But why on earth did you do that? Youre Connell! out of the side of his mouth and he didn’t make it any question. I do like him, she said, smiling, but the reason I liked him was because he drewyou out. He started you talking, Rob. I love to listen to you. Merton knew the country and the people and he was very observing, but... well,you knew more of the underlying philosophy of people and of life. But if it hadnt been for Merton to sort of start you going, you’d have just sat there and soaked up the scenery. Maybe weshould call that shrink, Augusta says. The writer last quoted says that the valuation of chances by comparing the number of cases in which the event occurs with the number in which it does not occur,would generally be wholly erroneous, and “is not the true theory of probability. It is at least that which forms the foundation of insurance, and of all those calculations of chances in the business of life which experience so abundantly verifies. The reason which the reviewer givesfor rejecting the theory is, that it “would regard an event as certain which had hitherto never failed; which is exceedingly far from the truth, even for a very large number of constant successes. This is not a defect in a particular theory, but in any theory of chances. No principle of evaluation can provide for such a case as that which the reviewer supposes. If an event has never once failed, in a number of trials sufficient to eliminate chance, it really has all the certainty which can be given by an empirical law; it is certain during the continuance of the same collocation of causes which existed during the observations. If it ever fails, it is in consequence of some change in that collocation. Now, no theory of chances will enable us to infer the future probability of an event from the past, if the causes in operation, capable of influencing the event, have intermediately undergone a change. URR! URRRRRR! URRRRRRRRR! This was enough to get Wendels mind off his troubles, even if only temporarily. He asked curiously: Go ahead and explain it. On The Composition Of Causes. He called Jacks number. It rang. Once, twice, three times. Rob turned suddenly to the dog and said,Dont you, Lobo, old man? She laid off. She let go all hold of me and slid down to the floor and I let her stay there, figuring shed be out of the line of fire if anything more broke out. I went back in the back room and saw Macintosh still standing in the door and still holding his gun in sight. Just as I got there he called out to the room at large: Everybody be quiet and nobody will be hurt. This is police. Why? Crandall called down:Ive called the station and they’re sending over. Just hold them, men. Of The Logic Of Practice, Or Art; Including Morality And Policy. Miss Carroll, Staunton Irvine said, what happenedafter the weapon, Peoples exhibit number three, was locked in the desk? Annie slaps the newspaper out of her hands..